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design(quota-plane): Stage 3 — predictive, self-tuning quota operations #1177

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design(quota-plane): Stage 3 — predictive, self-tuning quota operations#1177
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dezren39
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effort/lLarge: multi-day or open-ended; expect staged check-inskind/docsDocumentation improvement or additionmeta/enrichedIntake review done: acceptance criteria, links, and normalized labels addedmeta/follow-upFollow-up spun out of earlier workmode/onlineFully doable remotely: design, config, code, cloudpriority/normalOrdinary priority (the default)queue/parkedQueue task is parked (waiting on CI, time, or an event)queue/queuedHas a queued task in the Supabase agent queuesource/humanFiled directly by a humanstatus/parkedDeliberately paused with a recorded resume conditiontask/triageQueue packet kind: verify, reproduce, and route this itemwork/assignedQueue worker lifecycle state

Description

@dezren39
dezren39
opened on Oct 27, 2026

Priority P2 — order 11. Horizon: Month. Design: quota-plane-design-2026-10-26.md (usage-billing-hub goal files), Stage 2. Parent context: epic #1047. (§6)

Design Stage 3 — predictive, self-tuning quota operations — so the next stage is planned before it is needed:

  • Pace forecasting per window (projected exhaustion) driving placement BEFORE caution zones, not at them.
  • Automatic pool re-weighting PROPOSALS as repo PRs (never silent config edits) with the forecast evidence attached.
  • Anomaly detection: burn spikes, adapter schema drift, vendor plan changes wired to the evidence-baseline diff protocol.
  • A weekly design review folding forecast accuracy back into the rules.
    Method: one design doc (stage-3-design) in the usage-billing-hub goal files, using >=2 weeks of gatherer history as its evidence base; Drew reviews; then granular issues per component under a Stage-3 epic, same filing pattern as Stages 1-2.
    Acceptance: design doc delivered + linked from the hub GOAL.md; Stage-3 epic filed with prioritized children (or an explicit Drew decision to defer).

Acceptance criteria

  • A Stage-3 design doc (predictive, self-tuning quota operations) is delivered in the usage-billing-hub goal files, grounded in ≥2 weeks of gatherer history.
  • The doc is linked from the hub GOAL.md.
  • A Stage-3 epic with prioritized child issues is filed — or an explicit Drew decision to defer is recorded.

Activity

  1. dezren39
    added
    meta/follow-upFollow-up spun out of earlier work
    on Oct 27, 2026

  2. developing-today commented on Oct 27, 2026

    @developing-today
    developing-todayBot
    on Oct 27, 2026 – with developing.today
    Contributor

    CODE-313

  3. github-actions
    assigned
    dezren39
    on Oct 27, 2026
  4. dezren39
    added
    status/needs-triageNot yet triaged; needs a first look
    source/humanFiled directly by a human
    meta/enrichedIntake review done: acceptance criteria, links, and normalized labels added
    priority/normalOrdinary priority (the default)
    effort/lLarge: multi-day or open-ended; expect staged check-ins
    kind/docsDocumentation improvement or addition
    on Oct 28, 2026

  5. dezren39 commented on Oct 28, 2026

    @dezren39
    dezren39
    on Oct 28, 2026
    MemberAuthor

    Intake review

    Fleet monitor intake enrichment (protocol §5) — 2026-10-28T06:26Z. This issue was filed 2026-10-27 by Drew (dezren39) from the 2026-10-26 live pm-stack review and had no priority/* label and no standard ## Acceptance criteria section; both are now supplied (the body's own Acceptance text is restated under the standard heading, original body preserved verbatim above it).

    • Related: Parent context in body: epic epic(usage-hub): SaaS/cloud services completion — v2 live collectors, daily console reads, v3 reconciliation #1047, quota-plane design Stage 2. Body states Priority P2 / Month horizon. No merged PR references this issue.
    • Labels normalized: one kind/* (added kind/docs), source/human, status/needs-triage, priority/normal, effort/l, app/pm-stack (existing), meta/enriched.
    • Still live: verified open this run; no merged PR or commit found that implements it.
    • Risks: Design without the implementation link would sit silently — the acceptance requires the epic (or an explicit deferral decision) in the same pass. This is a design-stage item, not a code fix.
    • Suggested approach: Draft from the Stage-2 design doc plus gatherer history once ≥2 weeks exist; keep forecasting/re-weighting proposals PR-based, never silent config edits, as the body specifies.
  6. dezren39
    added
    work/assignedQueue worker lifecycle state
    queue/claimedQueue worker lifecycle state
    status/in-progressQueue worker lifecycle state
    and removed
    status/needs-triageNot yet triaged; needs a first look
    on Nov 1, 2026

  7. dezren39 commented on Nov 1, 2026

    @dezren39
    dezren39
    on Nov 1, 2026
    MemberAuthor

    Picked up queue task 2463 for triage. Checking current ownership, evidence availability, and whether the prescribed follow-up is appropriately scoped.

  8. dezren39
    added
    queue/parkedQueue task is parked (waiting on CI, time, or an event)
    status/parkedDeliberately paused with a recorded resume condition
    and removed
    status/in-progressQueue worker lifecycle state
    queue/claimedQueue worker lifecycle state
    on Nov 1, 2026

  9. dezren39 commented on Nov 1, 2026

    @dezren39
    dezren39
    on Nov 1, 2026
    MemberAuthor

    Triage is parked until the evidence prerequisite can be verified: Stage 3 requires at least two weeks of actual gatherer history. The parent records scheduled gathering beginning October 27 and estimates maturity around November 10 (see #1047 and #1151). On resume, verify the actual history and route a design-specific follow-up; do not treat this as a small implementation fix or infer missing data. Queue task 2463 is eligible again November 10.

  10. dezren39 commented on Nov 1, 2026

    @dezren39
    dezren39
    on Nov 1, 2026
    MemberAuthor

    Clarification: the ≥2-week history requirement applies to the delivered design’s evidence base, not necessarily to starting preliminary design. The Stage-2 design sets a separate start gate: Stage 2 live for a majority of pools. On resume, check that gate and actual data; if appropriate, scope preliminary design before the full evidence window matures. Gatherer snapshots are change-only, so forecasts must account for irregular samples and gaps.

  11. dezren39
    added
    mode/onlineFully doable remotely: design, config, code, cloud
    queue/queuedHas a queued task in the Supabase agent queue
    task/triageQueue packet kind: verify, reproduce, and route this item
    on Nov 1, 2026

  12. developing-today commented on Nov 3, 2026

    @developing-today
    developing-todayBot
    on Nov 3, 2026 – with developing.today
    Contributor

    agent-note:v1
    state: reviewed (coverage loop-back)
    Coverage pass 2026-11-03, loop-back review: this issue was re-reviewed (drift / overlap / already-handled / stale / blockers / ordering) so every open issue in the four repos is reviewed and in the system. Verdict: still live; in the system as task 2463 (triage, parked, priority 50) in repo-health-code-pilot. Labels audited and synced. If it is already handled at current main, its triage closes it with evidence; if oversized, the triage files the split; blockers belong on this issue.
    Found via: coverage loop-back 2026-11-03

  13. dezren39
    added
    x
    and removed
    x
    on Nov 3, 2026
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effort/lLarge: multi-day or open-ended; expect staged check-inskind/docsDocumentation improvement or additionmeta/enrichedIntake review done: acceptance criteria, links, and normalized labels addedmeta/follow-upFollow-up spun out of earlier workmode/onlineFully doable remotely: design, config, code, cloudpriority/normalOrdinary priority (the default)queue/parkedQueue task is parked (waiting on CI, time, or an event)queue/queuedHas a queued task in the Supabase agent queuesource/humanFiled directly by a humanstatus/parkedDeliberately paused with a recorded resume conditiontask/triageQueue packet kind: verify, reproduce, and route this itemwork/assignedQueue worker lifecycle state

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